100% of Electricity from Renewable and Non-Carbon Sources in 10 Years
In the best talk of the 2008 Web 2.0 Summit Al Gore called for president-elect Obama to make a man-on-the-moon-like pledge to generate 100% of the United States' electricity from renewable and non-carbon sources within 10 years. Al Gore is truly an amazing orator, and when he got fired up about the climate, renewable energy, energy independence, and how it could play a centerpiece of our economy, I got fired up and so did the rest of the audience.
What really sent shivers down my spine was this observation: When Neil Armstrong first stepped on the moon, the average age of the control engineers running the mission from Houston was 26, making them 18 when Kennedy made his pledge in 1960.
Generating 100% of our electricity from renewables and non-carbon sources in 10 years (let's call it 100-in-10) is the same caliber of challenge, but unlike getting to the moon -- which was something only a government could do at the time -- building a full economy of renewable energy should be orchestrated by the government, but requires the efforts of countless makers. I seem huge numbers of opportunities, both large and small, to make a difference and have impact. Get an engineering degree and invent a new type of powerplant, design and publish plans for low-cost DIY solar home heaters, be an advocate of renewable products and services.
It's clear that a lot can happen in 10 years, and even if Obama doesn't call for 100-in-10, the time to make a difference is now.
This is cross-posted on Makezine here.
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Too many gluttons, period, me fears.
go off grid.....it's not rocket science.
No, not if you have the resources to do it. If you want to feed back into the grid it may not be rocket science, but it definitely is not the easiest thing in the world to DIY.
Didn't a parent or an uncle ever point to you like that and say: Pull my finger! ?? |:-)
I can't be certain of the answer to that question, since Eric started the thread, you would have to inquire of him :-)
And this link takes you to the Episode I am referring to... although it is not a "playable" video.
Sigh....I got into physics despite that G*d awful textbook presentation. I had a really good teacher in high school, and my voracious appetite for old science fiction (Heinlein, Campbell, Blish, Bova, Asimov, Clarke, et al.) had already set me on my career path.
Really, there are all kinds of interesting things in there. Just not in the textbooks :-( Physics (okay, Science, including chem and bio) is about discovery. It's about looking at something really complicated that you don't understand, finding pieces that are simpler, and working them out. Then you go back and put those pieces together to understand the original complicated thing. It's about finding the essential core of a system, and trying to replicate that core in a way that you can manipulate, and study, and comprehend.
I know that sounds like a reductionist manifesto, but it doesn't have to be. "Finding pieces" doesn't necessarily mean breaking something down into components, and then claiming the complex whole is "nothing more than those components. You can do physics and be holistic at the same time --- you can recognize the hierarchy of levels, and different physical laws that apply at each level.
but the world isn't always like billiards...
A butterfly could change the path of a tornado, but is it really that likely?
In middle school? My apologies--on the Internet, it's hard to tell how old you are :-) You've probably taken pre-algebra by now, or maybe even "Algebra I" (whatever they call it at your school). That's enough to get through some basic physics, but not really enough for statistics.
However, we can go through some logical, qualitative arguments. You had commented, "A butterfly could change the path of a tornado, but is it really that likely?" If you ask whether a particular butterfly could alter the path of a specific tornado, the answer is quite likely to be "no."
However, the point of the metaphor is more generic. Suppose you're already observing the tornado's path, and you want to ask "where will it go next?" You try to measure everything you can about the environment -- air pressure, temperatures, gradients (how the temperature or pressure changes with location). You construct (with software) some sort of model, based on physics, which tells how tornados move under those different conditions.
Feed in all of your measurements. You may still get a completely wrong answer, because a tiny change in your inputs will, after you integrate over time, lead to an entirely different outcome. The metaphor is referring to this problem: if you change your input air pressure value by an amount equivalent to the pressure of a flapping butterfly, you could end up with a trajectory that is different by tens of kilometers.
yes, i have been doing some calculations my dad taught me.
Simple stuff, just calculating the energy in my capacitors, and the velocity...
It's all for my COIL GUNZZZ
Theoretically, my biggest coil gun could shoot a 1/4 inch, 1 inch long rod at over one kilometer per second.in theory... If i'm lucky, i can get half of that power...
ERROR ERROR
DOES NOT COMPUTE
My dad will get back to me on that, he's busy...
Exponential sensitivity to initial conditions, and the term "butterfly effect" itself, was pointed out in the 1890's by Edward Lorenz (not to be confused with Hendrik Lorentz of relativity fame). Ray Bradbury popularized it in 1952. Both long before the Outer Limits (who basically borrowed Bradbury's plot :-).
Links taken from the article you cited ;->
(if I had read through the full Wikipedia article, I would have seen the additional information).
Yeah, when I remembered the incident, I found it pretty quickly in the search forum comments section
my knowledge is much to generalized
like a big, natural rube goldberg machine!thoughtful indeed...
And the key
That is what "sensitivity to initial conditions" means.
Have you seen that honda commercial with the Rube? My science teacher showed it to us... We're making rubes sometime soon.
Turns out, they didn't do it all at once, since it was just too chancy, but each individual action is real...
Here's the vid:
A marbles rolling along a slot, being stopped at the end, then dropping onto a lever that flips it over to whack a spinner of some sort, that flicks another marble to drop onto another lever with a needle embedded in it, that end hits the balloon and bursts it.....just kind of a starter idea....embellishment is encouraged ;-)
just trial and error...
Nice beard, is it done yet?
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