universe expanding forever?
which has some astronomers apparently claiming that they have now worked out the fate of the universe from measurements on distant stars magnified through a galactic cluster. The final quote is:
Professor Priyamvada Natarajan of Yale University, a leading cosmologist and co-author of this study, said that the findings finally proved "exactly what the fate of the Universe will be".
This seems like a pretty bold claim to me - I was thinking that even if we had a lot of such measurements then we would still only be working out the geometry of space/time in the region of our universe that we are capable of seeing. This is likely to be only a small part of the whole universe due to the galactic horizon imposed by the age of the universe against the speed of light.
Also, even assuming that the whole universe of 3D space and time that we live in behaved the way they are saying, this is still only working out what would happen due to the universe's own internal dynamics - there are ideas coming out now about our universe being part of a wider multiverse outside the realm that we experience as normal space and time, so even if the universe did expand into a "cold dead wasteland", then something could possibly infringe upon it from outside space/time and make something different happen at any time in the future.
Some of what's going on here is just bad journalism - there's a longer article here:
which gives a fuller version of the same quote:
"The geometry, the content and the fate of the Universe are all intricately linked," says Natarajan. "If you know two, you can deduce the third. We already have a pretty good knowledge of the Universe's mass-energy content, so if we can get a handle on its geometry then we will be able to work out exactly what the fate of the Universe will be."
This is a bit more cautious but there's still this idea that by making measurements like this from just one point in space and time we can work out the fate of the whole universe, which I don't really believe.
So I reckon these sort of predictions should be taken with a massive pinch of salt, rather than definite statements of what we know. Which may be obvious, but I wanted to say it and see what anyone else thinks?