He who says there's no such thing as global warming.
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Considering the increase of odd weather (eg; more hurricanes, a snowstorm in Vancouver, melting ice caps) there ought to be something going on. However the increase in greenhouse gasses isn't completely caused by humans....(13% is actually cause by cows) The earth itself releases greenhouse gasses...
What worries me the most is the residue of tar sand production that is causing two headed fish too appear in lake Athabasca. All the waste from oil production is pumped into lakes and man made ponds (where birds try to swim) , once the water is filled with this greasy toxic substance we get mutated suffering animals.... Every time water is sucked out of these beautiful clean lakes used and put back, its ALWAYS dirtier, usually ALLOT dirtier. These beautiful lakes are becoming toxic wastelands.... Birds, fish are dieing, people who eat the birds and fish are getting cancers.....
Will your kids get to go fishing ?
PT-solar_variability.pdf(576x756) 281 KBThe correct description is that an increase in the globally averaged surface temperature will drive larger extremes of local/regional seasonal temperatures -- generally, hotter summers and colder winters.
Its actually nice that the pop media have actually chosen to use the technically accurate term for a change.
The bottom line is that the current warming cycle, has reached a magnitude several times any previous warming/cooling cycle.
Cause?=No idea except scientists and stuff.
Dont always trust the media. Its PROBABLY true, not CERTAINLY, PROBABLY.
The only proof we have is from the news/media, the real proof is held by meterologists and stuff.
The consensus for anthropogenic climate change, and specifically warming, was already formed in the '60s, and the evidence has only gotten stronger and more detailed since then. See my comment to Skate below for some of the specifics.
I recommend looking up review articles on Google Scholar rather than trying to wade through hundreds of individual papers.
Now THERE'S an authority to listen to. She had troubles with answering simple questions in a friendly interview.....I wouldn't trust her as far as I could throw her ;-)
. Ms. Palin sure did a lot to re-inforce the Ditzy Broad sterotype. To get to where she is, she has to be reasonably smart, but she definitely comes across as clueless.
. Her accent didn't help, either.*
*This coming from a guy with a thick Southern Drawl. Howdy, y'all! heehee
She does some of the most interesting expose`s too: one news program she was "SAVING" one Thanksgiving turkey while one was being ruthlessly butchered in the background behind her IN FULL VIEW OF THE CAMERA.
Not at all, I know of some very intelligent and together females, she wasn't one of them. From what I saw, she was very consistent in saying one thing and saying the opposite later. She lied a lot. Numerous politicians get where there are by this manner.
She came across as clueless because, in the area she was thrust into, she was. She was coached and when a question came up that was outside her area of proficiency, she choked, badly.
THIS
could have ended up being our president, had something happened to McCain if he had been elected:Palin's greatest hits !
There is no negative in us helping the environment by any means and I actively encourage it. However, scare tactics to get people to do it isn't helping anyone. if you don't recycle, the entire earth will flame up and the devil himself will come up from hell and stab you with his pitchfork!!! isn't helpful.
I've chosen that limit not to bias the comparison, but because it represents a range of time where the continental masses have been in basically their current configuration. If you look far enough in the past, you can find far more extreme climate variations during periods of single or dual supercontinents, or equatorial-only continental mass, which aren't comparable.
Worldwide dendrochronological (tree ring) studies can provide year-on-year climatic information going back up to 7,500 or 10,000 years (depending on location).
Greenland and antarctic ice cores can provide year-on-year precipitation and temperature (16O/18O ratio) measurements along with CO2 and trace gas compositions, going back as far as 500,000 years.
Marine stratigraphic information can provide temperature and ocean acidity data on a much coarser time scale, but going back millions of years.
I would recommend strongly that you use something like Google Scholar to look up some good review papers, and understand the evidence which has actually been published, before claiming it doesn't exist.
And you're also right that we can't know for 100% certain that we are to blame. We also can't know for 100% certain that you won't spontaneously explode before reaching the end of this sentence. However, we can say that the probabilty that the current warming cycle is not a natural, random fluctuation is at least 99.99% (conservatively).
Watch this space though, literally. The solar wind (blamed by the "it's a natural cycle" crowd) is at an unusual low, the lowest since records began in the early sixties. If GW is not anthropomorphic, then we should see a cooling trend that matches and follows the solar wind pattern (a cooling period that starts before the drop in solar wind would be merely coincidental).
SHOULD...I...TALK...SLOWLY...OR...LOUDLY?
1: using corn/sugar cane/ whatever you are using to make ethanol uses a commodity that would otherwise be used to feed people, rather than our cars.
Farmers and agriculture were once 90% of the population. It's less than 3% today. Maybe we need to pay more attention to a population that Louis Bromfield once called "the fundamental citizens of any nation."
We perpetuate an agricultural system that keeps cost so low that farmers can't make a living. And then complain when there's a short-term shortage.
If we grew crops like switchgrass from ethanol and didn't subsidize corn-to-ethanol, we'd be fine. For that matter, corn as a consumable isn't even particularly healthy. Yet growers have been receiving subsidies even when there was a surplus of corn.
And 2: At the moment, from harvesting it with tractors to shipping it out and processing it to getting it to the pump, it takes 120 gallons of fossil fuels to create 100 gallons of ethanol.
So wrong. These figures are only for the USA, which grows the wrong crops for ethanol production. Plus, as noted, we subsidize corn-to-ethanol production.
What? We subsidize an net-loss source of biofuel? Yes, we do, thanks to corporate agriculture interests.
You're citing the economics of our failure to promote an intelligent energy policy. In fact, we have no energy policy at all in the US. It's purely a free-market system (sort of--big farming lobbyist help to perpetuate subsidies that subvert that market.)
I'm not anti-free market, but you need leadership as well as market forces. Market forces alone don't have the interest of country or consumer at their core. For 30 years, while other nations such as Brazil have concentrated on self-sufficiency, our leaders have simply "punted," and let the corporate lawyers write the laws...
To quote you " there is a partial truth in that," i.e., to tell a partial truth is to tell a lie. And yes, you had two points to make:
1) ethanol production causes food shortages
2) ethanol is a negative-sum energy source.
Both points are wrong.
The "global food shortage" has nothing to do with ethanol production. People have been starving while our corporate agricultural system grew in size, and we've had the ability to feed them--they just didn't have enough money to pay for the food. They continue to starve. Simple economics.
There's no shortage of arable land in the world (unless global warming changes that.) US farmers do limit the production of corn in order to drive up the price.
And other countries have proved that ethanol production can rival the supply chain efficiency of oil. Without that carbon footprint.
Whether ethanol is the ultimate solution, or just a partial or interim solution is another question.
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